Transfer room
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić
BenficaNewcastle
62conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

🚨⚪️⚫️ Amar Dedić, flying to England today for medical tests and contract signing at Newcastle. Deal done with Benfica at €35m package, as revealed yesterday. 🇧🇦

The money read
Onside value7M
Reported fee€35M

Overpay vs our value

Fabrizio Romano
Your call

Onside rates this 62% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Medical1 source · since 14 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 14 August, across a single report, led by Fabrizio Romano. As of the latest report, the player is at the medical stage — the final hurdle before an announcement.

The reported €35M is 400% above the Onside valuation of €7M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 62%

Source credibility30% weight
100

Tier-1 journalist

Corroboration25% weight
20

1 independent source

Deal stage20% weight
90

At the medical stage

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 397% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
70

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Outlet·14 Aug
    The Northern Echo
  2. Tier-1·15 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano
  3. Tier-1·15 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano
  4. Tier-1·15 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

Community

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