Transfer room
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães
NewcastleGuimaraes
67conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

Transfer News: Newcastle 'desperate' to keep Bruno Guimaraes but can make way for an 'acceptable offer' from Arsenal

The money read
Onside value62M
Reported fee€691M

Overpay vs our value

Sky Sports · +214 more sources
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Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Bid215 sources · since 13 June

Onside has tracked this saga since 13 June, across 215 independent reports, led by Sky Sports. As of the latest report, a formal bid is on the table, which moves this beyond paper talk.

The reported €691M is 1015% above the Onside valuation of €62M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 67%

Source credibility30% weight
75

Established reporter

Corroboration25% weight
100

215 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
60

Formal bid reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 1016% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
70

2 years left

Freshness5% weight
25

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Established·22 Jul
    Sky Sports
  2. Established·22 Jul
    Sky Sports
  3. Established·22 Jul
    Sky Sports
  4. Established·23 Jul
    BBC
  5. Established·24 Jul
    Sky Sports
  6. Established·25 Jul
    Sky Sports

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

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