Transfer room
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães
NewcastleGuimaraes
71conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

🔴⚪️ Bruno Guimarães with Declan Rice. 🏆 “Declan sent me a message: Come here & please no more fights, now we’re friends!”, he said after signing at #AFC. 🇧🇷

The money read
Onside value61M
Reported fee€137M

Overpay vs our value

Fabrizio Romano · +18 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 71% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Linked19 sources · since 9 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 9 August, across 19 independent reports, led by Fabrizio Romano. As of the latest report, this is an early link — no bid, talks or agreement has been reported yet.

The reported €137M is 125% above the Onside valuation of €61M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 71%

Source credibility30% weight
100

Tier-1 journalist

Corroboration25% weight
95

19 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
30

Early link — no concrete step reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
35

Fee is 124% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
70

2 years left

Freshness5% weight
50

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Tier-1·9 Aug
    David Ornstein
  2. Outlet·14 Aug
    Sportskeeda
  3. Outlet·15 Aug
    Football365
  4. Outlet·15 Aug
    Chronicle Live
  5. Outlet·15 Aug
    Mshale
  6. Tier-1·16 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

Community

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