Transfer room
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
SouthamptonAston Villa
60conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

🚨 Aston Villa finalising deal with Southampton to sign Taylor Harwood-Bellis. Structure of £30m including add-ons package in place; work ongoing but set to close agreement for 24yo to join #AVFC from #SaintsFC 🚨 W/

The money read
Onside value€17M
Reported fee€35M

Overpay vs our value

David Ornstein
Your call

Onside rates this 60% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Bid1 source · since 20 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 20 August, across a single report, led by David Ornstein. As of the latest report, a formal bid is on the table, which moves this beyond paper talk.

The reported €35M is 106% above the Onside valuation of €17M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 60%

Source credibility30% weight
100

Tier-1 journalist

Corroboration25% weight
20

1 independent source

Deal stage20% weight
60

Formal bid reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
55

Fee is 103% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
50

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Tier-1·20 Aug
    David Ornstein
  2. Tier-1·30 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano
  3. Tier-1·30 Aug
    David Ornstein

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

Community

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