Transfer room
Julián Álvarez
Julián Álvarez
Atletico MadridArsenal
71conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

Arsenal fail to sign Julian Alvarez and with no elite attacker in, are Mikel Arteta's team short in the forward options?

The money read
Onside value111M
Reported fee€150M

Above our value

Sky Sports · +14 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 71% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Linked15 sources · since 31 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 31 August, across 15 independent reports, led by Sky Sports. As of the latest report, this is an early link — no bid, talks or agreement has been reported yet.

The reported €150M runs 35% above the Onside valuation of €111M — a market premium, common for in-demand profiles, and not in itself a red flag.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 71%

Source credibility30% weight
75

Established reporter

Corroboration25% weight
95

15 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
30

Early link — no concrete step reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
80

Fee is 35% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
85

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Established·31 Aug
    The Guardian
  2. Established·31 Aug
    BBC
  3. Established·1 Sept
    BBC
  4. Established·2 Sept
    Sky Sports
  5. Outlet·2 Sept
    Goal.com
  6. Outlet·2 Sept
    Goal.com

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

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