Morgan Rogers set to join Chelsea from Aston Villa for €300m

Sky Sports has reported that Morgan Rogers is linked with a move from Aston Villa to Chelsea, with a fee of €300m cited in the coverage. The story is being followed by 117 outlets across the market, indicating broad interest in the potential transfer.

Onside’s model estimates a valuation of €81m for the midfielder, suggesting the reported fee would represent an overpay relative to the platform’s valuation. The model assigns a confidence level of 60% to the likelihood of the deal proceeding under the current terms.

While the transfer remains unconfirmed, the reported figures and widespread reporting suggest the move is being closely monitored. Should the negotiations conclude, the fee would significantly exceed Onside’s estimated value, reflecting the premium clubs may be willing to pay for Rogers in the current market.