Insights · Transparency
The Onside Accuracy Report
We grade our own Confidence %. As rumours resolve — confirmed or dead — we check how the score we gave them held up. The track record is public, on the record. So far, 0% of rumours we rated 70%+ were confirmed.
197
Rumours resolved
93%
Overall hit rate
0%
70%+ hit rate
By confidence band
How each band performed
BandResolvedConfirmedRate
70%+100%
40–69%00—
Below 40%00—
Each rumour's Confidence % is snapshotted at the moment it resolves. “Hit rate” is the share that ended up confirmed. A calibrated model confirms most of its high-confidence calls and few of its low ones.